Legislature(2007 - 2008)BARNES 124

02/06/2008 01:00 PM House RESOURCES


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* first hearing in first committee of referral
+ teleconferenced
= bill was previously heard/scheduled
+= HB 267 WILDLIFE VIOLATOR COMPACT TELECONFERENCED
Moved CSHB 267(RES) Out of Committee
+= HB 336 SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT TELECONFERENCED
Heard & Held
+ Bills Previously Heard/Scheduled TELECONFERENCED
HB 336-SUSITNA HYDROELECTRIC PROJECT                                                                                          
                                                                                                                              
1:21:30 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON announced that the  next order of business would                                                               
be  HOUSE BILL  NO.  336,  "An Act  directing  the Alaska  Energy                                                               
Authority to conduct a study of  and to prepare a proposal for an                                                               
appropriately  sized Susitna  River hydroelectric  power project;                                                               
and  providing for  an effective  date."   He  noted that  public                                                               
testimony is still open for HB 336.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
1:22:20 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
ELIZABETH VAZQUEZ,  Chair, Board  of Directors,  Chugach Electric                                                               
Association,  Inc.,  stated  that  Chugach  Electric  Association                                                               
supports HB 336.  She specified:                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     Chugach   is   a  member-owned   electric   cooperative                                                                    
     headquartered  in   Anchorage.    It  is   the  largest                                                                    
     electric  utility   in  Alaska.    We   provide  retail                                                                    
     electric  services  to   approximately  80,000  metered                                                                    
     locations.   Chugach also  provides power  for Alaskans                                                                    
     from Homer  to Fairbanks through wholesale  and economy                                                                    
     energy  sales to  other utilities....   We  directly or                                                                    
     indirectly  provide  energy  to three-quarters  of  the                                                                    
     state's population.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     Today about  90 percent  of the  kilowatt-hours Chugach                                                                    
     sells  annually  are   produced  by  natural  gas-fired                                                                    
     units.   The other 10 percent  comes from hydroelectric                                                                    
     projects.  Currently,  all of our natural  gas from the                                                                    
     Cook Inlet Basin.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
     Chugach  believes  fuel   diversity  is  important  for                                                                    
     customers.   As you can  see, we are  heavily dependent                                                                    
     upon Cook Inlet gas as  a generation fuel.  Natural gas                                                                    
     prices  have  risen  dramatically  in  recent  years  -                                                                    
     doubling between  2003 and  2006.   As gas  prices have                                                                    
     risen, so too  have the bills paid  by electric utility                                                                    
     customers.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     We very much value  the three hydroelectric projects we                                                                    
     currently have  in the Railbelt.   They  provide clean,                                                                    
     renewable, relatively  flat-priced power.   These three                                                                    
     projects  - Eklutna,  Cooper Lake,  and Bradley  Lake -                                                                    
     generally provide  the lowest  cost generation  for the                                                                    
     Chugach systems.   The only  real problem we  have with                                                                    
     them is their limited capacity.   We are extracting all                                                                    
     the power we can from these projects today.                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     We believe  the time  is right for  the state  to study                                                                    
     generation alternatives, including the  idea of a major                                                                    
     regional  hydroelectric project  on the  Susitna River.                                                                    
     Much  work was  done  studying the  concept  of a  very                                                                    
     large Susitna  project back in  the 1980s.  We  are not                                                                    
     suggesting  a  rebirth  of that  project  per  se,  but                                                                    
     rather a  fresh look at  the resource, and  a realistic                                                                    
     appraisal of a  project that is the right  size for the                                                                    
     Railbelt region.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
     It would take years to  bring a major new hydroelectric                                                                    
     project online.   Therefore, the right time  to begin a                                                                    
     process like  this is now.   Chugach is planning  for a                                                                    
     new, efficient gas-fired power  plant that will provide                                                                    
     a  bridge  to the  future.    However, around  2020  we                                                                    
     foresee  the   need  for  the  next   major  generation                                                                    
     project.   This is a  good time to study  the potential                                                                    
     of a Susitna project and  the benefits it could provide                                                                    
     for  Alaskans  throughout the  interconnected  Railbelt                                                                    
     region.                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     Chugach believes HB 336 makes  several good points.  We                                                                    
     believe this study  should be led by  the Alaska Energy                                                                    
     Authority.   We  very much  agree ...  that the  effort                                                                    
     should be collaborative among  the Energy Authority and                                                                    
     the  Railbelt  electric  utilities.    We  believe  the                                                                    
     emphasis   should   be   on   considering   a   project                                                                    
     [appropriately] sized for the  Railbelt.  At this point                                                                    
     it is prudent to review and  build on the work that has                                                                    
     already been done in prior studies.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
     In conclusion,  we would  like to  thank Representative                                                                    
     Johnson  for  sponsoring   this  bill  and  co-sponsors                                                                    
     Speaker  Harris and  Representatives  Ramras and  Kelly                                                                    
     for their support of this important issue.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
1:26:56 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SEATON  inquired whether  Ms. Vazquez  agreed with                                                               
previous  testimony that  the appropriate  size  for the  project                                                               
would  be  100-300  megawatts  instead of  1200  megawatts.    He                                                               
further inquired  whether there is  room for two projects  in the                                                               
100-300 megawatt size or only room enough for one.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MS.  VAZQUEZ understood  that generally  there is  a need  for at                                                               
least  two   or  three  hydroelectric   projects  and   that  the                                                               
previously proposed Susitna  Hydroelectric Project was considered                                                               
too big  for the Railbelt  at 1200-1600 megawatts.   She deferred                                                               
to Mr. Evans for further detail.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
BRAD  EVANS, Acting  Chief  Executive  Officer, Chugach  Electric                                                               
Association, Inc., said  that while a 300  megawatt project would                                                               
be welcome in the Railbelt, it  would not be large enough to dent                                                               
the fossil fuel problem the  region currently faces.  The Susitna                                                               
Hydroelectric Project  could be built  in either of two  ways, he                                                               
explained.  It could  be scaled down or it could  be built to its                                                               
full  capability  of 1200  megawatts  with  only enough  turbines                                                               
installed  to meet  current demand.    Then, in  the future,  the                                                               
project could be  scaled up without doing any more  dam and civil                                                               
work - similar to what Chugach did at Bradley Lake.                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
1:30:20 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  SEATON asked  whether it  is Chugach's  view that                                                               
the  Susitna   project  should  go   forward  and   the  proposed                                                               
Chakachamna project should be kicked out.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS responded no.  It  was not aimed at Chakachamna or some                                                               
other similar project,  it was to get the best  fit for where the                                                               
load is  today and the  other resources  that are in  play today.                                                               
Everything would be  studied and the economics of  each one would                                                               
be looked  at to  see what  the optimal answer  would be  for the                                                               
state at this time along with a future capability to grow.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON added that the  appropriate sized project is one                                                               
of the things  the study will look  at.  It will not  be the call                                                               
of any utility to determine what is or is not appropriate.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
1:32:06 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS, in  response to Co-Chair Gatto,  stated that Chugach's                                                               
peak  load is  just  shy of  500  megawatts, including  wholesale                                                               
power sales  and sales to  Matanuska Electric  Association (MEA).                                                               
In further response  to Co-Chair Gatto, Mr.  Evans confirmed that                                                               
the Susitna project  is considerable given that  it would replace                                                               
300 megawatts of Chugach's current load.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR GATTO  asked whether the  [low generation costs  for the                                                               
Eklutna, Cooper  Lake, and Bradley  Lake hydro  projects] include                                                               
the amortized cost of constructing them.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS  replied that there is  not one answer because  each of                                                               
those projects is  under a different financial model.   The newer                                                               
Bradley Lake  does not  financially perform  like the  much older                                                               
Cooper and  Eklutna.  Bradley  Lake was  50 percent grant  and 50                                                               
percent  debt service.    But,  even with  that  50 percent  debt                                                               
service, Bradley  Lake is still  one of Chugach's  cheapest power                                                               
sources today.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
1:33:35 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  GATTO   asked  what   portion  of  the   current  total                                                               
consumption  of Cook  Inlet natural  gas is  consumed by  Chugach                                                               
Electric Association.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS estimated about 40 percent.                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  GATTO observed  that displacing  40 percent  of current                                                               
Cook Inlet gas  consumption would be the same as  finding new gas                                                               
and would thus extend the break  point for when there will not be                                                               
enough gas to supply existing needs.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MR.  EVANS agreed.    He  said Chugach  is  90 percent  gas-fired                                                               
generation, so hydropower  would conserve the gas  for other uses                                                               
for a period of time.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR   JOHNSON   interjected   that  hydropower   would   not                                                               
necessarily supplant  the use of Cook  Inlet gas due to  the long                                                               
time frame  for dam construction.   As a long-term goal  it would                                                               
extend the  life of  the gas  fields, but it  will not  solve the                                                               
Cook Inlet gas problem.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
1:36:30 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE   GUTTENBERG   inquired  what   Chugach   Electric                                                               
Association needs  to build  between now  and when  Susitna would                                                               
come online, given the association's aging infrastructure.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MS. VAZQUEZ said  Chugach would have hydropower now if  she had a                                                               
magic  wand.    However,  Chugach's only  option  right  now  for                                                               
bridging  the  gap  is  gas-fired  new  generation.    The  newer                                                               
generation assets  are 30 percent  more efficient than  the aging                                                               
assets  they  will  replace,  she   pointed  out.    The  current                                                               
equipment is  so old that the  parts have to be  special ordered.                                                               
Chugach is at  a crisis point and  there is no luxury  of time to                                                               
pursue  one   alternative  and  then  another;   rather,  several                                                               
alternatives must now be pursued at the same time.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS  noted that most  of Chugach's generation was  built in                                                               
the  1960s and  1970s  and  has reached  the  end  of its  useful                                                               
mechanical  life.   Additionally, it  is  dated in  terms of  its                                                               
efficiency  and a  30 percent  efficiency gain  would put  a huge                                                               
dent in the association's fuel  bill.  The current business model                                                               
is old, he  said, and Chugach has an intermediate  plan to bridge                                                               
between   the  Railbelt's   current   energy   problem  and   the                                                               
possibility  of  a  larger-scale  project that  would  solve  the                                                               
problem.  Chugach  is currently working with  two other utilities                                                               
on plans to jointly construct  a new gas-fired generation project                                                               
in Anchorage  that is  hoped to be  online by 2012.   If  a hydro                                                               
project  came online  afterward it  would be  for those  times of                                                               
maintenance,  outages,  and  intermediate  and  peaking  purposes                                                               
rather than base load.                                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
1:40:22 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR GATTO asked  why Chugach is in a crisis  and did not use                                                               
a business model that plans way ahead.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS said  the crisis is that the current  business model is                                                               
under  stress.   The Cook  Inlet gas  model is  old and  will not                                                               
necessarily meet  the growing demands  of the Cook  Inlet Region,                                                               
and  the   fossil  fuel   model  is   coming  under   stress  for                                                               
environmental and global  warming reasons.  The time  is right to                                                               
find  alternative sustainable  resources  that  will flatten  out                                                               
prices  and provide  diversity to  reduce  dependence on  market-                                                               
based gas  prices.  Those  market-based gas prices will  go right                                                               
to customer's front  doors, he warned.  If something  is not done                                                               
it will be a crisis, and that  is why Chugach is reaching out and                                                               
supporting  efforts that  will be  useful to  the people  and the                                                               
economy of the state.                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
1:42:16 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE KAWASAKI  inquired whether  coal is still  part of                                                               
Chugach Electric Association's equation.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS replied that Chugach  studied a coal-fired plant at the                                                               
Beluga  coal field,  but  coal  now has  a  lot of  environmental                                                               
challenges  and   its  future  is   uncertain.    It   seems  the                                                               
legislature would  want to  pick the  best alternative,  he said.                                                               
Chugach is asking  for enough information to help  pick that best                                                               
alternative and thinks hydropower has a role to play.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
1:43:15 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE KAWASAKI  asked whether Mr. Evans  thinks there is                                                               
a lot riding on a Susitna dam.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR. EVANS responded  yes, a lot would be riding  on Susitna if it                                                               
got built.   In further response to  Representative Kawasaki, Mr.                                                               
Evans said Susitna would be  a big impact to Chugach's generation                                                               
business model.                                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
1:43:55 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE KAWASAKI noted that  $160 million in federal funds                                                               
was spent on the Susitna plan and  no dirt was turned and no road                                                               
was built; all  that remains is a  box of paperwork.   He said he                                                               
supports a carbon neutral source  of electricity like the Susitna                                                               
dam, but it is  a big project.  He inquired  about the short term                                                               
projects that Chugach has in place right now.                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON said he views  Susitna as placing another option                                                               
on the table,  not taking options off.   Conversations with other                                                               
people indicate  that having one  mega-project to provide  all of                                                               
the state's  power is  ill advised,  he related.   Thus,  it will                                                               
take  a lot  of these  interim smaller  projects.   If it  is the                                                               
right  project, perhaps  it  would become  the  cornerstone of  a                                                               
package, but the Susitna dam would not be the only project.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
1:46:12 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE KAWASAKI asked  why HB 336 would  spend $1 million                                                               
on one narrowly defined project, the  Susitna dam, and not on any                                                               
other options that have been proposed.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  JOHNSON answered  that the  bill spends  $1 million  to                                                               
brush that box off, update it, and answer some questions.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
1:47:07 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EDGMON  stated that  this issue  merits discussion                                                               
whether or  not the idea  goes forward.   If it is  "code orange"                                                               
for  natural   gas  in  Anchorage,   then  the  pleas   from  his                                                               
constituents indicate  it is "code  red" in Bush Alaska.   People                                                               
are leaving the Bush because it  has become too expensive to live                                                               
out there.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  JOHNSON said  he  is  not looking  at  this  as just  a                                                               
Railbelt solution,  rather he  hopes it is  the cornerstone  of a                                                               
statewide  solution   and  long-range  energy  policy   to  start                                                               
electrifying Alaska.                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
1:49:03 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
MS.  VAZQUEZ   informed  the  committee  that   Chugach  Electric                                                               
Association is not just waiting for  a hydro project to solve its                                                               
problems.   It is dealing with  these issues in the  near term by                                                               
taking interim conservation measures  to conserve energy, such as                                                               
stressing conservation  and providing  tips in  the association's                                                               
monthly  newsletter.   The  association  has  a renewable  energy                                                               
committee  that  meets once  monthly  and  the board  receives  a                                                               
monthly report  regarding conservation  efforts and  efforts with                                                               
the  association's biggest  customers.   She said  Chugach is  on                                                               
overdrive  in working  with other  utilities on  immediate future                                                               
joint-generation that is needed to be more efficient.                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
1:50:36 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
UWE  KALENKA, Vice  Chair,  Chugach  Electric Association,  Inc.,                                                               
stated it  is not wise  for an electric  utility to have  all its                                                               
eggs in one basket and Chugach has  almost all of its eggs in one                                                               
basket with 90 percent of its  generation from gas and 10 percent                                                               
from  hydropower.   There are  only two  companies in  Cook Inlet                                                               
producing gas,  he said.   In the 1960s  and early 1970s  gas was                                                               
23 cents per  million cubic feet (MCF),  now it is over  $4.  The                                                               
Henry  Hub  natural gas  price  is  between $6  and  $12.   As  a                                                               
resource  becomes scarce  the price  automatically goes  up, said                                                               
Mr. Kalenka, so it can be  seen where things are heading with the                                                               
gas running out in Cook Inlet.   Chugach is looking long-range in                                                               
exploring all  alternatives, and  the Susitna  Hydropower Project                                                               
is possibly  one of  them.   Susitna needs to  be dusted  off and                                                               
looked  at to  determine whether  it is  viable, economical,  and                                                               
practical -  that is all  that Chugach  is saying at  this point.                                                               
Wind and geothermal  are unable to generate the  amount of energy                                                               
currently required,  he related.  Time  is urgent and the  gas is                                                               
needed for home heating rather than generating electricity.                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
1:52:56 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
RAY KREIG,  Chairman,, Chugach Consumers, said  Chugach Consumers                                                               
is an  advocacy group for  electric utility customers.   He noted                                                               
that he is  a professional civil engineer and that  he served for                                                               
six and one-half years on  the Chugach Electric Association Board                                                               
of Directors.  He specified:                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
     Chugach  Consumers  strongly  supports HB  336  and  we                                                                    
     commend Representative  Johnson and  Chugach Electric's                                                                    
     new  board  for their  leadership  in  stepping up  and                                                                    
     initiating  this overdue  review  of one  of the  major                                                                    
     alternatives  to  the  present  hydrocarbon-based  cost                                                                    
     rollercoaster  that ratepayers  are  on with  gas-fired                                                                    
     generation.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     The  steadily rising  cost of  energy in  the past  few                                                                    
     years has everyone,  especially utility boards, talking                                                                    
     about  alternatives     wind,  coal,  small  and  large                                                                    
     hydro, and  even nuclear.   The utilities have  to make                                                                    
     decisions  on  new  generation. It  will  be  extremely                                                                    
     useful to  narrow the  alternatives down,  if possible,                                                                    
     so the most  promising can be focused  on sooner rather                                                                    
     than later.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
     The blast from the  Anchorage Daily News editorial page                                                                    
     last  week   against  reviewing  Susitna  is,   in  our                                                                    
     opinion, misplaced.   The state  has over  $150 million                                                                    
     invested in studies of Susitna  hydro and more and more                                                                    
     people are  thinking about large  hydro as  a solution.                                                                    
     It is irresponsible  not to look at  this project again                                                                    
     and update the numbers, at least  in a general way.  If                                                                    
     the  numbers point  to a  likely cost  of 30  cents per                                                                    
     kilowatt  hour  that  was mentioned  by  the  Anchorage                                                                    
     Daily News,  then it can be  put back on the  shelf and                                                                    
     attention will move to other alternatives.                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
     We would  like to suggest  that the $1 million  in this                                                                    
     appropriation not  be put out  in one  large consultant                                                                    
     RFP [Request  for Proposals].   This  is not  likely to                                                                    
     get  best  value  for this  appropriation.    A  staged                                                                    
     approach, in  our opinion, will get  better information                                                                    
     for the state's money.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
     We  suggest that  an  engineering  conference be  first                                                                    
     held by the  Alaska Energy Authority (AEA).   There are                                                                    
     many  engineers, environmental  scientists, and  former                                                                    
     regulators  that worked  on Susitna  still around  that                                                                    
     should be  hired to participate along  with new leaders                                                                    
     in  the  hydroelectric  engineering profession.    One-                                                                    
     hundred-thousand dollars should  be sufficient for this                                                                    
     first task and  at the end of that process  all will be                                                                    
     better  informed of  the issues  and  players.   Better                                                                    
     decisions can then be made  by AEA and the utilities as                                                                    
     they  go forward  with this  review and  update of  the                                                                    
     original   Susitna  project   or  a   reconfigured  and                                                                    
     appropriately adjusted project for current needs.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
1:57:59 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
JAMES  HEMSATH, Deputy  Director for  Development, Alaska  Energy                                                               
Authority  (AEA),   Alaska  Industrial  Development   and  Export                                                               
Authority  (AIDEA), discussed  the points  outlined in  his white                                                               
paper entitled, "Estimate  for Susitna Hydro-electric Feasibility                                                               
Study".   The study  would use  the significant  engineering work                                                               
done in the  1980s to provide a  feasibility, or screening-grade,                                                               
estimate on the  project's cost in today's  dollars under today's                                                               
engineering and other concerns, he said.   A key objective of the                                                               
study would  be to  determine what  size facility  can be  put in                                                               
because  it is  not infinitely  scalable.   The two  dams in  the                                                               
original design cannot  necessarily be broken up and  only one or                                                               
the other  built.  For  example, in  order to have  full seasonal                                                               
load, the 600  megawatt lower Devil's Canyon dam  is dependent on                                                               
flow control  from the 1000 megawatt  upper river dam.   He noted                                                               
that the  $1 million study  will require  significant engineering                                                               
to  address the  assumptions used  in the  1984 estimates  versus                                                               
2008 in  terms of constructability, construction  techniques, and                                                               
the  generation   capacity  for   this  particular  site.     The                                                               
engineering study will provide a  rough estimate of power cost so                                                               
it  can be  determined  whether  this facility  or  this site  is                                                               
appropriate for  Alaska, he related.   For instance, if  the cost                                                               
is determined to  be in the 30 cent range  instead of the current                                                               
8-9  cent   range,  then   that  would   mean  this   project  is                                                               
inappropriate and other  alternatives need to be looked  at.  The                                                               
Susitna  project is  only one  of a  number of  alternatives that                                                               
need to be  addressed by a statewide energy  portfolio that looks                                                               
at industrial demand as well as local demand, he advised.                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:01:21 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  JOHNSON  pointed  out  that the  $1  million  will  not                                                               
provide consumption or demand projections  for the future.  Those                                                               
will come later.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH  responded correct, the  study will look at  what can                                                               
be generated.   He said  Susitna is  a very involved  project and                                                               
the  $135  million was  not  wasted  in  1984 because  there  was                                                               
significant engineering that  occurred.  The point  of this study                                                               
is to make  sure that the numbers are relevant  and determine the                                                               
power cost.  Only broad assumptions will be made about demand.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
2:02:56 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  GUTTENBERG observed  that each  of the  four work                                                               
tasks outlined in  the white paper has a cost.   He asked whether                                                               
the tasks could be done in parallel rather than sequentially.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH answered yes and no.   A number of these things could                                                               
be done  in parallel  if the  funds were available.   On  a large                                                               
capital project like this, there  are typically certain phases on                                                               
which engineering  capital is expended,  he explained.   Since it                                                               
is a  re-evaluation, not a  re-creation, of the 1984  design, the                                                               
first phase is  to determine the power costs.   If the power cost                                                               
is  in the  10  cent  per kilowatt  range,  then  moving on  with                                                               
further study is  warranted.  Until it is known  that the project                                                               
makes sense,  care must be  taken to not expend  additional funds                                                               
unnecessarily  because those  funds could  then be  applied to  a                                                               
statewide study.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
2:05:04 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE GUTTENBERG  estimated that  the Susitna  and other                                                               
projects  could provide  an energy  savings of  up to  $1 billion                                                               
annually  for  the  Railbelt  area.    Therefore,  he  theorized,                                                               
expending  another $1-2  million  to  do all  of  the studies  in                                                               
parallel instead  of sequentially  would shave off  several years                                                               
of study time and pay for  itself through the energy savings that                                                               
would start  sooner.  If  the money  was available, should  it be                                                               
done this way, he asked.                                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR.  HEMSATH said  $1 billion  is  likely an  over-estimate.   He                                                               
agreed with  the necessity  for haste in  looking at  the state's                                                               
energy  options, but  cautioned that  the time  savings of  a few                                                               
months would  not be of  great import  for a 10-12  year project.                                                               
"The most  important thing  is to  truly address  the engineering                                                               
and the cost aspects on the  current design to understand them as                                                               
best we  can because those are  going to drive the  decision," he                                                               
said.  "The other parts are refinement."                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
2:09:02 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  KAWASAKI   inquired  how   AEA  would   select  a                                                               
qualified contractor given the  white paper's recommendation that                                                               
an RFP process not be used.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH said 14 qualified  contractors are currently on AEA's                                                               
term contract list as the result of  an RFP from last summer.  It                                                               
was a competitive process with  the goal of identifying qualified                                                               
contractors to  undertake AEA  and AIDEA  tasks.   Selecting from                                                               
this list will gain 4-6 months over using an RFP.                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
CHRIS RUTZ,  Procurement Manager, Alaska Energy  Authority (AEA),                                                               
Alaska Industrial  Development & Export Authority  (AIDEA), added                                                               
that  all of  these contracts  are  currently in  the process  of                                                               
being set up.  Term  contracts for engineering services have been                                                               
used for many years because  they give management flexibility and                                                               
allow  AEA and  AIDEA  to react  quickly  when circumstances  and                                                               
situations arise,  he explained.   They  are solicited  using the                                                               
state procurement code and are  established following those rules                                                               
and guidelines.   However, AEA and AIDEA  also  go through formal                                                               
competitive processes if the need dictates.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:12:15 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  JOHNSON  asked what  it  will  take  to get  the  study                                                               
underway  and whether  Work  Task 1  [identified  in AEA's  white                                                               
paper] can be finished by December 2009.                                                                                        
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH  responded that Task  1 is  truly a nominal  12 month                                                               
activity.   It takes  about a  year to do  a detailed  study like                                                               
this, even  dealing with other  information, he said.   The scope                                                               
of work  would be  developed and  term contractors  identified by                                                               
June 2008.   Thus, the study could be completed  by June 2009 and                                                               
most definitely by December 2009.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
2:13:54 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  SEATON inquired  whether  other  projects in  the                                                               
area will be looked at in addition to the Susitna project.                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH  replied that AEA  will not  be going too  far afield                                                               
due to  the tightness of  dollars and  scope - attention  will be                                                               
focused on  the Susitna  project because of  its size.   However,                                                               
there are  existing feasibility studies  for other  projects like                                                               
the  Chakachamna Hydropower  Project, so  very loose  comparisons                                                               
can be  done.  Comparison would  be based on looking  at the cost                                                               
of power and a  project would not be viable if  the cost is 20-30                                                               
cents per kilowatt hour,  he said.  The bulk of  the work will be                                                               
understanding the river  and the dam situation  to determine what                                                               
size facilities  can be reasonably  developed at what  cost based                                                               
on the information from the 1984 study.                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
2:16:04 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SEATON  suggested that AEA  be directed to  key in                                                               
on the  Susitna project and  not directed to diversify  the study                                                               
to look at  other projects such as Eklutna.   He cited a sentence                                                               
under the objectives in AEA's white  paper which states:  "To aid                                                               
in  decision  making  cost  of   power  for  generic  alternative                                                               
generation  sources   (coal,  gas,  wind,  geothermal)   will  be                                                               
developed, and finance options will  [be] considered."  Does that                                                               
mean  AEA   will  develop  those  financing   options  and  other                                                               
alternative  generation  options  as  well  as  dusting  off  the                                                               
Susitna project, he asked.                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH answered no.  That  statement was written in light of                                                               
a $2.74 million full-blown study,  and would be the second phase,                                                               
he said.   The Susitna  project will be  in the $5  billion range                                                               
and  how  it is  financed  will  be  critical.   In  this  phased                                                               
approach, what  must first be  determined is whether  the Susitna                                                               
project would be cost competitive.   He cautioned against viewing                                                               
Susitna as  a way to  displace enough gas  to make Agrium  or the                                                               
Kenai  LNG facility  operate  again.   That  can  only come  from                                                               
increased exploration  in the  Cook Inlet, he  advised.   At best                                                               
the Susitna project displaces enough gas to keep houses warm.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
2:19:58 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  SEATON inquired  whether AEA  will first  look at                                                               
potential "drop  dead" features of  the Susitna project,  such as                                                               
seismic or economic issues, and stop the study if one is found.                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH said yes,  but with a lot of nuance in  the yes.  The                                                               
problem  is that  even in  the $1  million study,  there will  be                                                               
tasks that  are running parallel.   Whether the study  is stopped                                                               
depends on what  the perceived risk is.  In  addition to cost and                                                               
size, the  study will  try to identify  any technical  risks that                                                               
are known now  that were not known in 1984,  such as the recently                                                               
identified geologic  fault.   But, he said,  it is  unlikely this                                                               
fault can be found in the first month.                                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  SEATON  asked whether  HB  336  should include  a                                                               
means for  AEA to provide  an interim report should  something be                                                               
identified that  would preclude the project  from moving forward.                                                               
This way AEA  would not be required to go  through the full study                                                               
if something is discovered early on.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH  responded yes.   This would  allow AEA to  come back                                                               
for direction on how to proceed.                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
2:23:43 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON  inquired whether  any other  useful information                                                               
will  be  acquired even  if  the  Susitna Hydropower  Project  is                                                               
determined not feasible after spending the $1 million.                                                                          
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH  allowed that  a large portion  of those  funds would                                                               
"go down the  river".  Most likely there will  be some peripheral                                                               
information about the  costs of other projects,  but nothing that                                                               
could  be  applied to  projects  like  Chakachamna.   In  further                                                               
response to  Co-Chair Johnson, Mr.  Hemsath said the  study would                                                               
provide  an updated  understanding of  why the  project does  not                                                               
work as  well as  an understanding of  the construction  costs of                                                               
this kind  of facility.  The  study might also provide  some cost                                                               
information  for rough  estimates  on scaling.    The $1  million                                                               
addresses  current issues,  he  said,  and if  Susitna  is not  a                                                               
viable alternative  to the  state's energy  needs, the  focus can                                                               
then be directed elsewhere.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
2:26:13 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON requested further explanation  of Work Task 2 as                                                               
outlined in AEA's white paper.                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR.  HEMSATH explained  that he  organizes a  project so  it goes                                                               
through a series  of gates in order to maximize  the value of the                                                               
capital  being expended.    This  way, the  capital  can be  used                                                               
elsewhere in  case a  decision needs to  be cut off.   If  Task 1                                                               
determines that  the power cost is  viable, then Task 2  would be                                                               
an  environmental and  socio-economic  study  to determine  those                                                               
impacts  and costs.   Additionally,  it  would determine  whether                                                               
anything  has changed  in  the environment  since  1984, such  as                                                               
changes  in weather  patterns that  might affect  the ability  to                                                               
collect  enough water.    The environmental/socio-economic  study                                                               
would also  look at  some light industrial  uses and  an intertie                                                               
beyond the Railbelt.   Mr. Hemsath said there  are other possible                                                               
alternatives  for  power generation  and  Task  3 would  identify                                                               
those alternatives  that are true  options.  Task  3 concentrates                                                               
only on  a small  area, he  said, and a  larger state  plan would                                                               
help  to  ensure  that  the questions  and  portfolio  of  energy                                                               
projects is  appropriate.  Task  4 is self  explanatory regarding                                                               
finance options for the project, he said.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:30:42 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EDGMON inquired whether  anyone is tracking all of                                                               
the projected power  needs throughout the state,  given there are                                                               
numerous  proposed developments  that would  create even  greater                                                               
power demands.                                                                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH  said there are a  number of people at  AEA and AIDEA                                                               
who  are aware  of  what  is happening.    However,  there is  no                                                               
comprehensive focus  with benchmarks  and that is  something that                                                               
truly  is necessary  and  it is  not  an insignificant  activity.                                                               
There is  a true need for  a comprehensive look at  energy assets                                                               
and energy demand from an  industrial perspective, he emphasized.                                                               
The questions  need to be addressed  in a format that  will allow                                                               
people  to understand  how the  pieces  of the  puzzle could  fit                                                               
together and whether  each piece of the puzzle is  the best thing                                                               
for   the  overall   state  versus   a  specific   project.     A                                                               
comprehensive  look  would  also  give some  focus  as  to  where                                                               
additional research can be done  to facilitate the development of                                                               
an energy source for the state's benefit.                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:32:54 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EDGMON submitted  that the  state's energy  needs                                                               
are  so great  it is  going  to take  big picture  thinking.   He                                                               
related that the governor is  talking about an energy coordinator                                                               
position and  that this  person may oversee  or be  the executive                                                               
director of AEA.  He said he  thinks HB 336 fits into the overall                                                               
picture  of the  state's power  needs.   He asked  whether anyone                                                               
could speak  as to how  HB 336,  the energy coordinator,  and the                                                               
state's big picture would all fit together.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  JOHNSON agreed  that a  bigger picture  is needed.   He                                                               
asked much  closer to the big  picture would the full  funding of                                                               
$2.7 million get the state.                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
MR.  HEMSATH  deferred to  the  governor's  office in  regard  to                                                               
Representative Edgmon's  question about the overall  picture.  In                                                               
terms  of a  full-blown  $2.7  million study,  he  said it  would                                                               
identify some  of the Railbelt-driven  options and, to  a smaller                                                               
extent, it would  identify where some of the  key industrial base                                                               
loads might be  that would help backstop  the larger-scale energy                                                               
projects  that are  needed for  economy  of scale.   However,  he                                                               
advised, it would  not address what the state would  look like as                                                               
a system.                                                                                                                       
                                                                                                                                
2:36:12 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE EDGMON  asked whether  the intent  is to  move the                                                               
bill today.                                                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON said he thought more  work needed to be done and                                                               
that while  he could  support a  $1 million  fiscal note  at this                                                               
point, he was  unsure about $2.7 million.   Additionally, he said                                                               
he would like to hear from other utilities.                                                                                     
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  EDGMON inquired  whether  there  are any  federal                                                               
funding sources.                                                                                                                
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  JOHNSON confirmed  that  there is  federal funding  and                                                               
that  he is  looking into  whether  the funds  are available  for                                                               
studies as opposed  to projects.  He  said he sees HB  336 as the                                                               
first step of a statewide  plan that would electrify rural Alaska                                                               
as well as  future developments.  Even if the  Susitna project is                                                               
a  no-go,  it will  still  be  money well  spent.    He said  his                                                               
intention is  to go for the  full $2.7 million in  a staged plan.                                                               
He agreed AEA should be allowed to stop the study if needed.                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SEATON said  he did not want to  see the committee                                                               
confusing a directed  study with spending the  money elsewhere if                                                               
Susitna is  a no-go.  If  a statewide energy plan  is wanted then                                                               
that  should be  done,  it  cannot be  a  subsidiary  for if  the                                                               
Susitna dust-off does not work.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON  appreciated the comment,  but noted that  he is                                                               
looking for other  benefits should the $1  million not accomplish                                                               
what was intended.                                                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
2:43:25 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SEATON  stated that this is  a significant project                                                               
with  significant potential  for Alaska.   Even  a no-go  is good                                                               
information and  the information  does not  need to  do something                                                               
else someplace else.   He said he  did not want the  bill held up                                                               
because of his conceptual amendment.                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
2:44:21 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR  JOHNSON requested  a sense  of the  body on  whether to                                                               
report HB 336 from committee today.                                                                                             
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE GUTTENBERG said  he would like to  hear from other                                                               
utilities.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE FAIRCLOUGH asked whether  other utilities had been                                                               
reached since this is the second  time HB 336 has been before the                                                               
committee.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON responded  that he did and does  not think there                                                               
are any utilities that do not know about the bill.                                                                              
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE FAIRCLOUGH  stated she  does not  favor additional                                                               
spending beyond the $1 million.                                                                                                 
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON  said the  $1 million  accomplishes what  he set                                                               
out to do, but he would also like  to get as much out of it as he                                                               
can.                                                                                                                            
                                                                                                                                
2:47:16 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE GUTTENBERG  maintained his objection  to reporting                                                               
the  bill.   He noted  that  he would  like to  talk with  Golden                                                               
Valley Electric Association  of Fairbanks.  He  said further work                                                               
on  the  bill  would  mean   less  work  for  the  House  Finance                                                               
Committee.                                                                                                                      
                                                                                                                                
CO-CHAIR JOHNSON, in response  to Representative Fairclough, said                                                               
there is  no companion bill  in the Senate,  but there is  a bill                                                               
that creates a commission and has a fiscal note of $3 million.                                                                  
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE  FAIRCLOUGH said  she does  not object  to holding                                                               
the bill  in committee in order  to reach out to  utilities.  She                                                               
said she would  check with her utility about its  position on the                                                               
bill.                                                                                                                           
                                                                                                                                
2:50:04 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE SEATON  moved that the committee  adopt Conceptual                                                               
Amendment 1 as follows:                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
     Page 1, line 11, after "area.":                                                                                            
          Insert "This study will initially look at                                                                             
     potential drop  dead issues and  if any  are identified                                                                    
     an interim report identifying those  issues may be used                                                                    
     to terminate the study."                                                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
There being no objection, Conceptual Amendment 1 was adopted.                                                                   
                                                                                                                                
2:51:19 PM                                                                                                                    
                                                                                                                                
REPRESENTATIVE GUTTENBERG stated that he  would like to hear from                                                               
someone who was  intimately involved in the 1984  study and could                                                               
review the whole thing.                                                                                                         
                                                                                                                                
MR. HEMSATH suggested Eric Yould.                                                                                               
                                                                                                                                
[HB 336 was held over.]                                                                                                         

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